Fed up with the Bull-ish

Its now the end of our week, and a lot has happened, but it seems like everyone is already looking forward to next week’s Fed Board Meeting. Today, the Fed is not our concern; some people spend so much trying to predict what Mr. Ben S. Bernanke and his cohorts on that sit on the [Federal Reserve] Board of Governors will do, that they forget about the here and now. At Landes, we are doing the exact opposite: we have examined a few sectors have are providing you with some sound advice, for both the domestic and international markets.
First, while there has been a slight recovery in the financial sector, look for value buys on the engineering side. Companies that make “stuff”. The engineering sector is very diverse and is made up of companies that are frequently household names such as, Rolls Royce, ABB, Siemens, and L&T. One of the big reasons that these companies will continue to do well is the fact that in America and globally is because governments are constantly investing in infrastructural upgrades; in the USA it there is an attempt to make everything more green, while in nations with experiencing rapid GDP growth nations such as India and China, they are simply trying to lay the foundations of the World’s next Industrial Revolution. On the small-cap side: Kirloskar Brothers, Honda Siel Power, and Aban Loyd Chiles have all seen sharp gains over the past few months. While on the Big Board: Cummins India, Bharat Electronics, Alfa Laval, Bharat Forge, Thermax, Crompton Greaves, BHEL, Siemens, ABB, Kirloskar Oil Engines and Alstom Projects, have all doubled within one year’s time.

Countrywide

Buy Countrywide (CFC), the Nation’s largest independent mortgage firm. There was never a question of when CW would get bailed out, but merely who would provide the financing to bail them out. Over the past few weeks Countrywide has trimmed its workforce, sold off a 2 billion dollar stake to Bank of America, which (by the way plans to raise ATM fees to the absurd amount of $3) and borrowed over $11,000,000,000. Additionally, in the month of August, less than 4% of new loans originated by Countrywide fell into the Sub Prime category. These efforts combined with low rates still make this a buyer’s market and CW should be able to bounce back, but remember this is a long-term pick. For bond investors, it is important to realize that Countrywide debt carries a Bb2 rating, making it a “junk bond”. With high risk comes higher reward.

Strong Buys
On the other side of the real estate market take a look at Tarragon Corp. (TARR), which has been up since it announced plans to sell a Florida rental property to General Electric Capital. The buzz is that there are more sales to follow. Get in now, the stock in only about $3 and will rise to over $6 by the end of the year. Also a good strong buy is Euro Tech Holdings; everyone likes having fresh water. Last for the week is the big G again, Google. The reason is Google is boost ad revenue and the P/E margins are off the chart. If you can afford it, buy it.

Happy Investing, and have a good weekend.

Week in Review

Friday DJ plunge
The Dow tumbles more than 240 points after the Labor Department reports the weakest jobs data in four years. Investors also weigh comments from former Fed chief Alan Greenspan about volatility in the stock market.

Country Wide cute more jobs
Reacting to a meltdown in the subprime housing market, the largest U.S. home-mortgage lender is expected to announce plans to reduce its work force over the next several months by about 20 percent. This is in the wake of the Bank of America bailout. What's next?

Home prices have fallen in 1/3 of the metropolitan areas in America over the past three months. How are values where you live? If you are trying to sell now, you may want to be very careful the time is bad. On one street in Cuyahoga County, OH there are 9 houses for sale.

The mortgage "bubble", while it has not you extended into the Prime markets, it has made its way into the creative market. Even high value homes are loosing their value and people are loosing their homes. What happened was that years ago, a man with a 680 credit score could either take a standard mortgage on a 3 bedroom, $250,000 home or he could take a "creative" mortgage and move into a 5 bedroom 1/2 million dollar home. In short prices are falling, and falling fast.

Fed to cut rate?
NEW YORK (AP) - The arrival of September was supposed to bring more clarity to the economic impact of the current credit crisis. Instead, each new bit of data coming out seems to be creating more confusion.

The first labor market contraction in four years, as revealed Friday in a weaker-than-expected jobs report, shows that the housing and mortgage collapse is putting some strain on the economy. And the continued dislocation in commercial paper markets, where companies raise cash to fund their operations, should be taken as a warning sign - in flashing red - that more bad news may be coming.

Yet plenty of good economic news still stands out. Strong August sales results from retailers and manufacturers suggest the painful credit crunch's effect on the broader U.S. economy has been limited so far.

Anyone hoping that Federal Reserve policymakers will reduce the overnight bank borrowing rate when they meet on Sept. 18, should not ignore the positive signs the economy is giving.

Credit Crunch 2

What makes the Fed Chairman believe that a rate cut will have such economic impact that the Lener's will be more free with lending. Rather I think the converse is true. The Fed hasnt made an interest rate cut in four years. Lenders are not in touble because they didnt have money to loan; they are in trouble for trying to artifically boost profits at the expense of the Middle Class. If you give money to a homeless man, assume that you will not get the money back. In essences that is what happened.

Lets not forget the banks still have money, they are simply keeping it all for themselves.